Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
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Chile	ESPN
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Fiji	Sky Pacific
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
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Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
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Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Ipswich Town		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2.05
	3.6	3.6	2.05
	3.6	3.65	2.08
	3.65	3.62	2.09
	3.99	3.6	1.99	Watch
	3.7	3.5	2.05
	3.81	3.64	2.03	Watch
	3.6	3.65	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.18)	3.61 ↓ (3.71)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
26.2%

Draw
26.8%

Aston Villa
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.7%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.1%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	11%	70.3%

Ipswich Town - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 87 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 17 - 19.5%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 63 - 72.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 63% – 81.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muric A. (G) 40. Tuanzebe A. 26. O'Shea D. 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 8. Phillips K. 21. Ogbene C. 20. Hutchinson O. 47. Clarke J. 19. Delap L.	23. Martinez E. (C) 4. Konsa E. 3. Diego Carlos 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 24. Onana A. 8. Tielemans Y. 31. Bailey L. 27. Rogers M. 41. Ramsey J. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
7. Burns W. 10. Chaplin C. 27. Hirst G. 18. Johnson B. 25. Luongo M. 23. Szmodics S. 14. Taylor J. 22. Townsend C. 28. Walton C. (G)	6. Barkley R. 26. Bogarde L. 10. Buendia E. 9. Duran J. 18. Gauci J. (G) 22. Maatsen I. 20. Nedeljkovic K. 19. Philogene J. 50. Swinkels S.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Delap L. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Rogers M. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Watkins O. ⚽, Bailey L. (A),
45+2', Morsy S. 🟨,
45+3', Delap L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Digne L. 🟨,
54', Tuanzebe A. 🟨,
64', Rogers M. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
64', Bailey L. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
69', Phillips K. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
69', Ogbene C. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Delap L. ⚽, Hutchinson O. (A),
75', Greaves J. 🟨,
84', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
84', Watkins O. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
84', Tielemans Y. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
90+1', Delap L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
90+1', Morsy S. ↓, Luongo M. ↑,
90+1', Clarke J. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 1.

Ipswich is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aston Villa in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ipswich have a series of guest games.

In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Donacien J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Thigh Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Philogene J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Clarke H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Cash M. (Thigh Injury) Diego Carlos (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
21.09.24	Southampton - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Ipswich Town - Fulham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
24.08.24	Manchester City - Ipswich Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTLL
- Aston Villa
English League Cup
24.09.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.09.24	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.24	Young Boys - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
14.09.24	Aston Villa - Everton	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Leicester City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.01.19	Aston Villa - Ipswich Town	2:1
18.08.18	Ipswich Town - Aston Villa	1:1
21.04.18	Ipswich Town - Aston Villa	0:4
25.11.17	Aston Villa - Ipswich Town	2:0
11.02.17	Aston Villa - Ipswich Town	0:1
17.09.16	Ipswich Town - Aston Villa	0:0
English FA Cup
05.01.13	Aston Villa - Ipswich Town	2:1

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