Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brighton & Hove Albion		Everton

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.95	3.5	4.1
	1.99	3.52	4.34
	1.93	3.62	4.23	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.96	3.6	4.11	Watch
	1.94	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)	3.52 ↓ (3.79)	4.11 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
49.5%

Draw
27.2%

Everton
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	34.8%	15.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 22 - 48.9%). Everton will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 35.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 34.3% – 63.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .

DC - Brighton & Hove (1.24) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 24. Kadioglu F. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. De Cuyper M. 26. Ayari Y. 17. Baleba C. 30. Gross P. 10. Rutter G. 18. Welbeck D. 22. Mitoma K.	1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 32. Branthwaite J. 27. Gueye I. 37. Garner J. 45. Armstrong H. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Ndiaye I. 11. Barry T.
Substitutes
21. Boscagli O. 8. Gruda B. 53. Howell H. 3. Igor 19. Kostoulas C. 20. Milner J. 11. Minteh Y. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.	24. Alcaraz C. 9. Beto 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 7. McNeil D. 2. Patterson N. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Gross P. 🟨,
57', Branthwaite J. 🟨,
60', Rutter G. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
70', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
70', De Cuyper M. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Gross P. ⚽, Ayari Y. (A),
79', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
80', Gueye I. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
80', Armstrong H. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
89', Branthwaite J. ↓, Patterson N. ↑,
89', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
90+2', Iroegbunam T. 🟨,
90+6', Gross P. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Beto ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Everton has had a series of home games.

In this match, Brighton & Hove is the team to beat.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Gruda B. (Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Grealish J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Gomez D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Iroegbunam T. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 2.57% Everton: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16:5	11	10
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6:3	3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 52.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
24.01.26	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWTW
- Everton
English Premier League
26.01.26	Everton - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Aston Villa - Everton	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Everton - Sunderland	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Everton - Brentford	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.08.25	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
25.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	0:1
17.08.24	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:3
24.02.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:1
04.11.23	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
08.05.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:5
03.01.23	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:4

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