Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.2	4.5
	1.68	4.1	4.6
	1.7	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.69	4.25	4.72
	1.7	4.25	4.72
	1.6	4.33	4.6
	1.69	4.3	4.55
	1.65	4.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)	4.24 ↑ (4.12)	4.64 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
57%

Draw
22.5%

Olympique Marseille
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

23%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

22.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30.6%	19.4%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 18 - 50%). Marseille will win (votes: 7 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 30.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 33.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Steele J. (G) 3. Igor 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. van Hecke J. P. 41. Hinshelwood J. 24. Adingra S. 11. Gilmour B. 13. Gross P. 40. Buonanotte F. 9. Joao Pedro 22. Mitoma K.	16. Lopez P. (G) 18. Meite A. 99. Mbemba Ch. (C) 5. Balerdi L. 12. Lodi R. 7. Clauss J. 8. Ounahi A. 27. Veretout J. 11. Harit A. 10. Aubameyang P. 9. Vitinha
Substitutes
20. Baleba C. 48. Chouchane S. 8. Dahoud M. 56. Duffus J. 28. Ferguson E. 45. Hinchy J. 52. Kavanagh L. 14. Lallana A. 38. McGill T. (G) 6. Milner J. 34. Veltman J. 1. Verbruggen B. (G)	36. Blanco R. (G) 4. Gigot S. 19. Kondogbia G. 24. Mughe F. R. 62. Murillo M. 34. Nadir B. 29. Ndiaye I. 1. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 23. Sarr I. 37. Soglo E.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Gattuso G.

Preview

Brighton & Hove is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marseille in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Brighton & Hove is a favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Estupinan P. (Injury) Fati A. (Calf Injury) Lamptey T. (Muscle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Welbeck D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Correa J. (Ankle Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Webster A. (Knock)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
09.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	1:1 ✺
06.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	AEK Athens - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.11.23	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLWW
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
10.12.23	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	2:4 ✺
06.12.23	Olympique Marseille - Lyon	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Olympique Marseille - Ajax	4:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.11.23	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Olympique Marseille - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2

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