The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley 60.8%
Draw 24.1%
Birmingham City 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
23.4%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
23.2%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81%
6%
12.9%
Burnley - Birmingham City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Burnley will win
(94 of 116 users predict this - 81.03%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.9% – 88.16%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).
Burnley has the most likely position - 1 (47.43%), has project points - 87, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a good chance of promoted (79%), has a chance of win league (47%).
Birmingham has the most likely position - 10 (6.43%), has project points - 63, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality49, importance44, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 2.
Burnley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Birmingham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Burnley is a favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Vitinho
(Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Friend G.
(Injury)
Placheta P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Westwood A.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Birmingham: Dean H.
(Injury)
Gardner G.
(Injury)
Gordon N.
(Injury)
Hogan S.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Burnley to win the game is with odds 1.64.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
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