Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:30	SuperSport 2
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	04:30	Stan Sport
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Belgium	18:30	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
China	01:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:30	ESPN
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:30	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	18:30	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	21:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live
Hungary	18:30	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	17:30	SÝN Sport
India	23:00	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	00:30	Vidio
Ireland	17:30	NOW
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Italy	18:30	Sky Sport Arena
Japan	02:30	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	23:30	Setanta Sports
Kenya	20:30	Gotv
Kosovo	18:30	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	01:30	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	22:30	Medianet
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	11:30	TNT Sports
Myanmar	00:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	23:15	Kantipur Max
New Zealand	06:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	18:30	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	12:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	18:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Voyo
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	02:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:30	AIS PLAY
Turkey	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	17:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:30	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360


	Burnley		Fulham

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.95
	3.95	3.45	2
	4.04	3.5	2.02
	3.93	3.53	1.96	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.95
	3.99	3.58	2	Watch
	3.8	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.77)	3.48 ↓ (3.58)	1.98 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
24.4%

Draw
27.4%

Fulham
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.5%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

27.1%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Fulham have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.9%	18%	36.1%

Burnley - Fulham Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 28 - 48.3%). Fulham will win (votes: 21 - 36.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 35.4% – 61.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 9 - 45%). Fulham (votes: 9 - 45%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Burnley (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Fulham (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 6. Tuanzebe A. 18. Ekdal H. 5. Esteve M. 3. Hartman Q. 8. Ugochukwu L. 24. Cullen J. (C) 16. Florentino 9. Foster L. 27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J.	1. Leno B. (G) 2. Tete K. 5. Andersen J. (C) 3. Bassey C. 33. Robinson A. 16. Berge S. 17. Iwobi A. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 19. Chukwueze S. 7. Jimenez R.
Substitutes
11. Anthony J. 10. Edwards M. 19. Flemming Z. 29. Laurent J. 22. Sonne O. 17. Tchaouna L. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 13. Weiss M. (G) 4. Worrall J.	10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 15. Cuenca J. 22. Kevin 24. King J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 20. Lukic S. 6. Reed H. 11. Traore A.
Coaches
Parker S.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Smith Rowe E. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Ugochukwu L. ⚽, Cullen J. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Bassey C. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
37', Andersen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 3, Wilson H. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
62', Florentino ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
62', Foster L. ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
66', Cullen J. 🟨,
77', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
77', Tuanzebe A. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
79', Jimenez R. ↓, King J. ↑,
79', Iwobi A. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
82', Tete K. 🟨,
83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Sonne O. ⚽,
89', Wilson H. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
89', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Castagne T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3.

Burnley has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Fulham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Fulham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lucas Pires (Red Card) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Muscle Injury) Walker K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Fulham: Rodrigo Muniz (Hamstring Injury) Sessegnon R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Robinson A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
06.12.25	Newcastle United - Burnley	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Burnley - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Brentford - Burnley	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Burnley - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	West Ham United - Burnley	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fulham FC
English Premier League
07.12.25	Fulham - Crystal Palace	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Fulham - Manchester City	4:5 ✺
29.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Fulham - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Everton - Fulham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.02.24	Burnley - Fulham	2:2
23.12.23	Fulham - Burnley	0:2
10.05.21	Fulham - Burnley	0:2
17.02.21	Burnley - Fulham	1:1
English FA Cup
24.01.21	Fulham - Burnley	0:3
English Premier League
12.01.19	Burnley - Fulham	2:1
26.08.18	Fulham - Burnley	4:2

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