Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 2
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 5
Argentina	12:00	Disney+
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Brazil	12:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 10
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport 3
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	SCTV, Vidio
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	09:00	Caliente TV, FOX One, TNT Sports
Mongolia	23:00	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 2
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport Action, SuperSport OTT 2
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+
Vietnam	22:00	K+ Action, K+, TV 360


	Brentford		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6.5
	1.46	4.6	7.2
	1.49	4.55	7.05
	1.53	4.36	5.87	Watch
	1.52	4.46	6.68	Watch
	1.52	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	4.42 ↑ (4.36)	6.63 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
63.9%

Draw
21.7%

Burnley
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	1.8%	8.9%

Brentford - Burnley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.25 - Brentford (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (50 of 56 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.19% – 97.39%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 27 - 93.1%). Burnley (votes: 2 - 6.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 22. Collins N. (C) 4. van den Berg S. 2. Hickey A. 6. Henderson J. 8. Jensen M. 19. Ouattara Da. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 3. Hartman Q. 28. Mejbri H. 24. Cullen J. (C) 16. Florentino 17. Tchaouna L. 19. Flemming Z. 9. Foster L.
Substitutes
20. Ajer K. 3. Henry R. 27. Janelt V. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 11. Nelson R. 15. Onyeka F. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 18. Yarmolyuk Y.	11. Anthony J. 27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 10. Edwards M. 18. Ekdal H. 29. Laurent J. 23. Lucas Pires 8. Ugochukwu L. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Andrews K.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Mejbri H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', Mejbri H. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
74', Hickey A. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
75', Schade K. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
75', Foster L. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
75', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
75', Florentino ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
77', Tuanzebe A. 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Thiago I. (Pen),
81', Cullen J. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Flemming Z. (Pen),
85', Jensen M. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Thiago I. ⚽,
90+1', Thiago I. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Ouattara Da. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Brentford is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
22.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brentford - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Grimsby Town - Brentford	0:5 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.25	Brentford - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWW
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
22.11.25	Burnley - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	West Ham United - Burnley	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Burnley - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Burnley - Leeds United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
16.03.24	Burnley - Brentford	2:1
21.10.23	Brentford - Burnley	3:0
12.03.22	Brentford - Burnley	2:0
30.10.21	Burnley - Brentford	3:1
English League Championship
15.01.16	Brentford - Burnley	1:3
22.08.15	Burnley - Brentford	1:0

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