Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brentford		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6.5
	1.46	4.6	7.2
	1.49	4.55	7.05
	1.53	4.36	5.87	Watch
	1.52	4.46	6.68	Watch
	1.52	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	4.42 ↑ (4.36)	6.63 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
63.9%

Draw
21.7%

Burnley
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	1.8%	8.9%

Brentford - Burnley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.25 - Brentford (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (50 of 56 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.19% – 97.39%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 27 - 93.1%). Burnley (votes: 2 - 6.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 22. Collins N. (C) 4. van den Berg S. 2. Hickey A. 6. Henderson J. 8. Jensen M. 19. Ouattara Da. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 3. Hartman Q. 28. Mejbri H. 24. Cullen J. (C) 16. Florentino 17. Tchaouna L. 19. Flemming Z. 9. Foster L.
Substitutes
20. Ajer K. 3. Henry R. 27. Janelt V. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 11. Nelson R. 15. Onyeka F. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 18. Yarmolyuk Y.	11. Anthony J. 27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 10. Edwards M. 18. Ekdal H. 29. Laurent J. 23. Lucas Pires 8. Ugochukwu L. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Andrews K.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Mejbri H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', Mejbri H. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
74', Hickey A. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
75', Schade K. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
75', Foster L. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
75', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
75', Florentino ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
77', Tuanzebe A. 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Thiago I. (Pen),
81', Cullen J. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Flemming Z. (Pen),
85', Jensen M. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Thiago I. ⚽,
90+1', Thiago I. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Ouattara Da. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Brentford is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
22.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brentford - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Grimsby Town - Brentford	0:5 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.25	Brentford - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWW
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
22.11.25	Burnley - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	West Ham United - Burnley	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Burnley - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Burnley - Leeds United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
16.03.24	Burnley - Brentford	2:1
21.10.23	Brentford - Burnley	3:0
12.03.22	Brentford - Burnley	2:0
30.10.21	Burnley - Brentford	3:1
English League Championship
15.01.16	Brentford - Burnley	1:3
22.08.15	Burnley - Brentford	1:0

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