Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Plymouth Argyle		Burnley

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.57	Watch
	6	3.9	1.58
	5.91	3.95	1.59	Watch
	5.95	4.04	1.6
	5.87	3.9	1.6	Watch
	6	3.8	1.57
	6.24	3.96	1.62	Watch
	5.95	3.73	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.96 ↓ (6)	3.89 ↓ (4)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
15.9%

Draw
24.5%

Burnley
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

23.4%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

22.9%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	15.6%	68.9%

Plymouth Argyle - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 7 - 15.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Grimshaw D. (G) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 44. Palsson V. 17. Puchacz T. 2. Mumba B. 20. Randell A. (C) 18. Gyabi D. 3. Ogbeta N. 30. Baidoo M. 28. Al Hajj R. 9. Hardie R.	1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 24. Cullen J. 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 8. Brownhill J. 17. Foster L. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
33. Baker Z. (G) 15. Bundu M. 7. Cissoko I. 39. Finn T. 4. Houghton J. 35. Issaka F. 34. Roberts C. 29. Sorinola M. 11. Wright C.	35. Barnes A. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 12. Humphreys B. 30. Koleosho L. 28. Mejbri H. 9. Rodriguez J. 7. Sarmiento J. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
11', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Brownhill J. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Laurent J. ⚽, Roberts C. (A),
45', 0 - 4, Laurent J. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
45+2', 0 - 5, Cullen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hardie R. ↓, Bundu M. ↑,
46', Ogbeta N. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
46', Al Hajj R. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
68', Anthony J. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
69', Brownhill J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
70', Randell A. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
77', Foster L. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
77', Flemming Z. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
83', Baidoo M. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
84', Egan-Riley C. ↓, Worrall J. ↑,
88', Sorinola M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Plymouth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burnley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Plymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Hamstring Injury) Tijani M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Leg Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Knock)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
18.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
14.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Brentford - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.25	Stoke City - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
01.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 LTWTT
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
17.01.25	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Reading - Burnley	1:3 ET ✺
English League Championship
04.01.25	Blackburn Rovers - Burnley	0:1 ✺
01.01.25	Burnley - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Middlesbrough - Burnley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.10.24	Burnley - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
English League Cup
28.08.12	Burnley - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 pen.

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