The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 45.8%
Draw 27.9%
Portsmouth 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
26.9%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
27.7%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Luton Town - Portsmouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 28. Makosso C. 12. Naismith K. 3. Bell A. 25. Jones I. 18. Clark J. 8. Aasgaard T. 20. Walsh L. 45. Doughty A. 9. Morris C. (C) 19. Brown J.
13. Schmid N. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 45. Hayden I. 21. Dozzell A. 30. Ritchie M. 17. Aouchiche A. 23. Murphy J. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
11. Adebayo E. 21. Alli M. 5. Andersen M. 47. Bowler J. 22. Dabo L. 23. Krul T. (G) 6. McGuinness M. 37. Nelson Z. 44. Nordas L.
31. Archer J. (G) 18. Bramall C. 24. Devlin T. 14. Gordon K. 11. O'Mahony M. 8. Potts F. 15. Saydee C. 4. Towler R. 10. Yengi K.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.
Mousinho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Dozzell A. 🟨,
16', Ritchie M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Clark J. ⚽,
39', Murphy J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ritchie M. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
55', Brown J. 🟨,
57', Brown J. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
63', Murphy J. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
69', Doughty A. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,
70', Walsh L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
73', Swanson Z. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
73', Aouchiche A. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
81', Hayden I. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
90', Kaminski T. 🟨,
90+3', Morris C. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
90+5', Saydee C. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
Luton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Portsmouth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Luton will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Luton: Burke R.
(Hip Injury)
Hashioka D.
(Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
McGuinness M.
(Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I.
(Tendon Injury)
Farrell J.
(Leg Injury)
Lane P.
(Knee Injury)
Lang C.
(Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Injury)
Williams J.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Morris C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Atkinson R.
(Injury)
Swanson Z.
(Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.7:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).
Hungary
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Kaminski T. (G) 
Makosso C. 
Naismith K. 
Bell A. 
Jones I. 
Clark J. 
Aasgaard T. 
Schmid N. (G) 
Poole R. 
Aouchiche A. 
Alli M. 
Andersen M. 
Dabo L. 
Krul T. (G) 
Devlin T. 
Yengi K. 
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