The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 64.9%
Draw 22.2%
Luton Town 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
24.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
23.9%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.6%
1.9%
7.5%
Sunderland - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sunderland will win
(48 of 53 users predict this - 90.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.7% – 98.44%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 5. Ballard D. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 11. Rigg C. 28. Le Fee E. 18. Isidor W.
24. Kaminski T. (G) 2. Walters R. 6. McGuinness M. 5. Andersen M. 38. Johnson J. 22. Dabo L. 21. Alli M. 8. Aasgaard T. 18. Clark J. 37. Nelson Z. 9. Morris C. (C)
Substitutes
20. Abdul Samed S. 30. Aleksic M. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 12. Mayenda E. 26. Mepham C. 21. Moore S. (G) 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 23. Seelt J.
11. Adebayo E. 40. Bowler J. 19. Brown J. 27. Hashioka D. 23. Krul T. (G) 4. Naismith K. 13. Nakamba M. . Nordas L. 20. Walsh L.
Coaches
Le Bris R.
Bloomfield M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Le Fee E. ⚽, Hume T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Dabo L. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Isidor W. ⚽,
62', Dabo L. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
62', Alli M. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
67', Morris C. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
67', Andersen M. ↓, Naismith K. ↑,
76', Rigg C. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
82', Aasgaard T. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
86', Isidor W. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
90+4', Clark J. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2.
Sunderland is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Luton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A.
(Broken Leg)
Browne A.
(Broken Leg)
Danns J.
(Back Injury)
Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Watson T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Chong T.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
Hungary
United-kingdom
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Patterson A. (G) 
Hume T. 
Le Fee E. 
Kaminski T. (G) 
McGuinness M. 
Andersen M. 
Dabo L. 
Aasgaard T. 
Abdul Samed S. 
Aleksic M. 
Mepham C. 
Seelt J. 
Brown J. 
Hashioka D. 
Nakamba M. 
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