The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 40.7%
Draw 29.8%
Luton Town 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
27.1%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
25.5%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
17.9%
7.1%
Watford - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Luton will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 59% – 91%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Selvik E. (G) 2. Ngakia J. 4. Keben K. 25. Abankwah J. 37. Larouci Y. 10. Louza I. (C) 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 7. Ince T. 39. Kayembe E. 8. Chakvetadze G. 20. Doumbia M.
24. Kaminski T. (G) 2. Walters R. 5. Andersen M. 3. Bell A. 25. Jones I. 20. Walsh L. 13. Nakamba M. 8. Aasgaard T. 45. Doughty A. 44. Nordas L. 9. Morris C. (C)
Substitutes
45. Andrews R. 19. Bayo V. 23. Bond J. (G) 22. Morris J. 61. Nabizada A. 6. Pollock M. 52. Ramirez-Espain L. 3. Sierralta F. 11. Vata R.
11. Adebayo E. 21. Alli M. 26. Baptiste S. 47. Bowler J. 19. Brown J. 18. Clark J. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 28. Makosso C.
Coaches
Cleverley T.
Bloomfield M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Ngakia J. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Dele-Bashiru T. (Pen),
23', 2 - 0, Kayembe E. ⚽, Chakvetadze G. (A),
42', Andersen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Larouci Y. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
46', Nordas L. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
46', Andersen M. ↓, Makosso C. ↑,
46', Nakamba M. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
53', Keben K. ↓, Pollock M. ↑,
58', Pollock M. 🟨,
70', Baptiste S. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
73', Morris C. 🟨,
78', Doumbia M. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
78', Abankwah J. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
84', Morris C. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
90+6', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Injury)
Bachmann D.
(Ankle Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Chong T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C.
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Burke R.
(Hip Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
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Selvik E. (G) 
Ngakia J. 
Keben K. 
Abankwah J. 
Larouci Y. 
Louza I. (C) 
Dele-Bashiru T. 
Ince T. 
Chakvetadze G. 
Doumbia M. 
Kaminski T. (G) 
Andersen M. 
Bell A. 
Jones I. 
Nakamba M. 
Bayo V. 
Sierralta F. 
Baptiste S. 
Brown J. 
Krul T. (G) 
Makosso C. 
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