Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 33

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
Usa	Paramount+


	Luton Town		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.81	3.25	2.57	Watch
	2.84	3.32	2.63
	2.86	3.22	2.57	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.5
	2.94	3.39	2.53	Watch
	2.81	3.25	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)	3.25 ↓ (3.51)	2.57 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
33.6%

Draw
29.3%

Sheffield United
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.8%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	16.1%	77.4%

Luton Town - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Utd: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 12. Naismith K. 6. McGuinness M. 3. Bell A. 25. Jones I. 20. Walsh L. 13. Nakamba M. 8. Aasgaard T. 45. Doughty A. 9. Morris C. (C) 11. Adebayo E.	1. Cooper M. (G) 18. Clarke H. 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 19. Robinson J. (C) 3. McCallum S. 21. Vini Souza 24. Choudhury H. 11. Rak-Sakyi J. 7. Brewster R. 20. Brereton Diaz B. 23. Campbell T.
Substitutes
21. Alli M. 5. Andersen M. 26. Baptiste S. 47. Bowler J. 19. Brown J. 18. Clark J. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 44. Nordas L. 2. Walters R.	35. Brooks A. 14. Burrows H. 22. Davies T. 31. Faxon L. (G) 5. Holding R. 33. Norrington-Davies R. 10. O'Hare C. 39. One R. 42. Peck S.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Wilder C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ahmedhodzic A. 🟨,
30', Vini Souza 🟨,
33', Clarke H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Peck S. ↑,
46', Brewster R. ↓, Holding R. ↑,
64', Nakamba M. 🟨,
66', McCallum S. ↓, Burrows H. ↑,
66', Campbell T. ↓, One R. ↑,
69', Adebayo E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
76', Nakamba M. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
78', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, O'Hare C. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Ahmedhodzic A. ⚽, O'Hare C. (A),
90+1', Naismith K. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
90+1', Walsh L. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.

Luton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sheff Utd is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Luton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sheff Utd will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Luton: Chong T. (Muscle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Moore K. (Hernia) Sachdev S. (Broken Leg) Shackleton J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Calf Injury) Burke R. (Hip Injury) Doughty A. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League Championship
12.02.25	Sunderland - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Luton Town - Millwall	0:1 ✺
21.01.25	Oxford United - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Luton Town - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT
- Sheffield United
English League Championship
12.02.25	Sheffield United - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sheffield United - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Derby County - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Sheffield United - Hull City	0:3 ✺
21.01.25	Swansea City - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.10.24	Sheffield United - Luton Town	2:0
English Premier League
10.02.24	Luton Town - Sheffield United	1:3
26.12.23	Sheffield United - Luton Town	2:3
English League Championship
11.03.23	Sheffield United - Luton Town	0:1
26.08.22	Luton Town - Sheffield United	1:1
22.01.22	Sheffield United - Luton Town	2:0
28.08.21	Luton Town - Sheffield United	0:0

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