The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 19.2%
Draw 23.9%
Sunderland 57%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
25.6%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
25.5%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Plymouth Argyle - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sunderland will win
(18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%). Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Grimshaw D. (G) 2. Mumba B. 6. Szucs K. 7. Cissoko I. 8. Edwards J. (C) 10. Whittaker M. 11. Wright C. 14. Obafemi M. 17. Gibson L. 18. Gyabi D. 20. Randell A.
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 5. Ballard D. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 11. Rigg C. 14. Mundle R. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
. Al Hajj R. 15. Bundu M. 27. Forshaw A. 22. Galloway B. 9. Hardie R. 4. Houghton J. 1. Marosi M. (G) 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V.
70. Aleksic M. 8. Browne A. 33. Hjelde L. F. . Isidor W. 6. Mepham C. 21. Moore S. (G) 15. Rusyn N. 9. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. . Watson T.
Coaches
Rooney W.
Le Bris R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Roberts P. (Pen),
28', Gyabi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Whittaker M. 🟨,
48', Bellingham J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Ballard D. (Own goal),
56', Mundle R. 🟨,
57', Szucs K. 🟨,
59', Hume T. 🟨,
65', Obafemi M. ↓, Hardie R. ↑,
65', Wright C. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
70', Rigg C. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Hardie R. (Pen),
79', Mayenda E. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
79', Cissoko I. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,
81', Roberts P. 🟨,
82', Edwards J. 🟨,
83', Randell A. ↓, Forshaw A. ↑,
83', Gyabi D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Mundle R. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Edwards J. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 1.
Recent matches Plymouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sunderland is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A.
(Ankle Injury)
Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
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Grimshaw D. (G) 
Szucs K. 
Cissoko I. 
Obafemi M. 
Hume T. 
Mayenda E. 
Al Hajj R. 
Bundu M. 
Galloway B. 
Hardie R. 
Marosi M. (G) 
Palsson V. 
Aleksic M. 
Hjelde L. F. 
Isidor W. 
Mepham C. 
Rusyn N. 
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 
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