Match Info

Date: 5 April 2021, Monday


	Burton Albion		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	2	3.4	3.6
	2.05	3.45	3.65
	2.1	3.15	3.45
	2.17	3.34	3.66
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.16	3.54	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.37 ↓ (3.47)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
45.4%

Draw
28.1%

Swindon Town
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

18.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burton Albion - Swindon Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 18 and 20).

Burton has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Swindon has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Burton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Burton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
02.04.21	Accrington Stanley - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
23.03.21	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ✺
20.03.21	Burton Albion - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
16.03.21	Blackpool - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Crewe Alexandra - Burton Albion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLTW
- Swindon Town
English League One
02.04.21	Swindon Town - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
23.03.21	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town	0:2 ✺
13.03.21	Swindon Town - Gillingham	1:3 ✺
09.03.21	Swindon Town - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.09.20	Swindon Town - Burton Albion	4:2
28.12.15	Burton Albion - Swindon Town	1:0
19.09.15	Swindon Town - Burton Albion	0:1
English League Two
28.02.12	Swindon Town - Burton Albion	N/A

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