The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 24.6%
Draw 27%
Oxford United 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
26.8%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
17.5%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+15%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
32%
16%
52%
Swindon Town - Oxford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Oxford will win (votes: 13 - 52%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 32.4% – 71.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 10).
Swindon has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oxford has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
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