Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Cacereño		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.25	4	Watch
	1.89	3.25	4.76
	1.79	3.25	4.8
	1.72	3.28	4.65
	1.83	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.17)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	4.39 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
50.4%

Draw
28.6%

Llerenense
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.9%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llerenense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cacereño - Llerenense Predictions

Users Predictions: Cacereño will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cacereño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Montijo - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Badajoz - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Cacereño - Castellón	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWL
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.11.23	Llerenense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Ursaria - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Llerenense - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Llerenense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Llerenense - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.11.20	Cacereño - Llerenense	1:0
02.02.20	Cacereño - Llerenense	3:0

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