Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 6

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)


	VVV-Venlo		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.56	3.92	2.58
	2.5	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.55	3.7	2.53	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.37)	3.62 ↑ (3.43)	2.53 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
37.1%

Draw
25.9%

NAC Breda
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

VVV Venlo - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Breda will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Boer J. (G) 21. Rutten M. 4. Ketting R. (C) 3. Janssen R. 5. Janssen S. 8. Sierra E. 14. Smans L. 12. Kluskens J. 44. Kaastrup M. 9. Kosidis M. 7. Allouch S.	1. Kortsmit R. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 23. Besselink R. 5. Van den Bergh J. 31. Wernersson V. 8. Leemans C. 16. Vet J. 39. Janosek D. 11. Sejdiu P. 9. Haugen S. 17. Kuijpers R.
Substitutes
17. Berden M. 30. Craenmehr J. (G) 18. Doesburg P. 15. Henderikx S. 16. Klaasen R. 2. Lathouwers R. 22. Schrick T. (G) 13. Sedlacek R. 20. Timber D. 11. Verheijen T.	18. Agougil S. 19. Boere T. 24. de Wijs S. 30. Jaddi A. 14. Kaied A. 4. Kemper B. 25. Mol L. 29. Rached M. 49. Troost T. (G)
Coaches
Kruys R.	Lokhoff T.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venlo won 1.

Venlo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Breda is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There are questionable in Breda: Omarsson E. (Knee Injury) Omgba A. (Knee Injury) Staring C. (Knee Injury) van Schuppen B. (Knee Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Venlo won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.09.23	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	4:1 ✺
18.08.23	Emmen - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTL
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.09.23	NAC Breda - Roda	1:2 ✺
05.09.23	Willem II - NAC Breda	1:4 ✺
25.08.23	FC Eindhoven - NAC Breda	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
11.08.23	Dordrecht - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.03.23	VVV-Venlo - NAC Breda	1:3
30.09.22	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	1:2
08.04.22	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	3:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
26.10.21	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	2:1 penalties
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.08.21	VVV-Venlo - NAC Breda	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
31.03.19	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	1:1
22.09.18	VVV-Venlo - NAC Breda	3:0

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