Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)


	Cerrito		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	21	6.5	1.14	Watch
	14	7	1.16	Watch
	15	6.25	1.16
	14	6.4	1.15
	17.95	7.37	1.18
	17	6	1.14
	15.25	7.1	1.14	Watch
	15	6.8	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.15 ↑ (10.1)	6.68 ↑ (5.57)	1.16 ↓ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerrito
5.7%

Draw
13.9%

Nacional Montevideo
80.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.1%

16.5%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Cerrito - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cerrito will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerrito: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Play Offs)).

Cerrito is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nacional is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.10.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
28.09.22	Cerrito - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.09.22	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWLL
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.10.22	Albion Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
21.09.22	Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
21.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	5:0
28.05.22	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	3:0
18.11.21	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0
08.08.21	Cerrito - Nacional Montevideo	2:0
15.04.12	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	6:1

Upcoming Matches