The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 27.8%
Draw 29.5%
Atlético Mineiro 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
27.8%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
28.4%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
20%
30%
Chapecoense - Atlético Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 19% – 81%.
1. Rafael Santos (G) 2. Marcos Vinicius 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 37. Clar W. 27. Camilo Reijers 25. Victor Caetano 99. Rafael Carvalheira 10. Giovanni Augusto 77. Italo 11. Bolasie Y.
22. Everson (G) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 13. Lyanco 16. Lodi R. 11. Bernard 25. Perez T. 30. Victor Hugo 28. Cuello 19. Reinier 7. Hulk (C)
Substitutes
98. Anderson (G) 91. Bruno Pacheco 19. David Antunes 97. Enio 22. Higor Meritao 20. Jean Carlos 4. Joao Paulo 5. Joao Vitor 7. Marcinho 18. Neto Pessoa 15. Rafael Thyere 94. Ramirez K.
5. Alexsander 9. Cassierra M. 29. Caua 92. Dudu 21. Franco A. 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 10. Gustavo Scarpa 17. Igor Gomes 36. Pascini K. 3. Roman I. 40. Vitao 14. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo
Dominguez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
21', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Bernard ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Reinier ⚽, Hulk (A),
35', 0 - 3, Cuello ⚽, Reinier (A),
43', Victor Caetano 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
46', Victor Caetano ↓, Enio ↑,
46', Italo ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
67', Reinier ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
67', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
76', Bolasie Y. ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
81', Victor Hugo ↓, Dudu ↑,
81', Hulk ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
86', Lodi R. ↓, Pascini K. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 4, Dudu ⚽, Cuello (A),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Everton
(Red Card)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Garcez
(Hamstring Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Inactive)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Knee Injury)
Maycon
(Calf Injury)
Vitor Hugo
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Ramirez K.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Atletico-MG
29
12
8
9
39:34
5
44
20
Chapecoense-SC
28
3
9
16
29:57
-28
18
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Mineiro - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.82%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Brazil
Ecuador
Kosovo
Mexico
Russia
Serbia
Usa
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Rafael Santos (G) 
Clar W. 
Bolasie Y. 
Perez T. 
Ramirez K. 
Cassierra M. 
Franco A. 
Roman I. 
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