Match Info

Date: 25 February 2020, Tuesday


	Chelsea		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.9
	3.8	3.9	1.91
	3.9	4	1.93
	3.67	3.79	1.91
	3.77	3.96	1.96
	3.75	3.8	1.91
	3.82	3.96	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.14)	3.92 ↓ (4)	1.93 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
25.6%

Draw
24.5%

Bayern Munich
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

23.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

19.2%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	12%	73.8%

Chelsea - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 343 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 49 - 14.3%). Bayern will win (votes: 253 - 73.8%). It will Tie (votes: 41 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 69.1% – 78.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
22.02.20	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
17.02.20	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
01.02.20	Leicester City - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
25.01.20	Hull City - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.01.20	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWT
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
21.02.20	Bayern Munich - Paderborn	3:2 ✺
16.02.20	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
09.02.20	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.02.20	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	4:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.02.20	Mainz - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

International Champions Cup
25.07.17	Chelsea - Bayern Munich	2:3
UEFA Super Cup
30.08.13	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	3:2 penalties
UEFA Champions League
19.05.12	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	N/A

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