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Current Win Probability
Chelsea 73.1%
Draw 16.8%
Red Bull Salzburg 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68%
18.6%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68%
18.6%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73%
8.1%
18.9%
Chelsea - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
111 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 81 - 73%). Salzburg will win (votes: 21 - 18.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 8.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 64.7% – 81.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Chelsea has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (26%), has a chance of 2nd (24%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a chance of round of 16 (50%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Salzburg has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (32%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a good chance of round of 16 (60%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has big quality81, big importance87, big match rating84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Chelsea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Salzburg is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Salzburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Chelsea is certain favorite.
There will not play in Chelsea: Kante N.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Salzburg: Diambou M.
(Ankle Injury)
Koita S.
(Ankle Injury)
Okoh B.
(Knee Injury)
Piatkowski K.
(Muscle Injury)
Solet O.
(Muscle Injury)
Tijani S.
(Shin Injury)
Wober M.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Chelsea: Mendy E.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Salzburg: Sucic L.
(Groin Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Africa
Australia
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
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Germany
Portugal
United-kingdom
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