Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75
	1.78	3.5	4.5
	1.78	3.55	4.8
	1.85	3.47	4.84
	1.83	3.3	4.6
	1.81	3.44	4.7	Watch
	1.82	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	4.64 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
52.3%

Draw
27.4%

Forest Green Rovers
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Cheltenham Town - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Cheltenham has the most likely position - 17 (43.56%), project points - 52, currently - 47, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (100%), project points - 30, currently - 27, already of relegated.

This event has small quality 10, very small importance 1, very small match rating 5. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 2.

Recent matches Cheltenham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forest Green has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cheltenham is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League One
15.04.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Cheltenham Town - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Lincoln City - Cheltenham Town	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Cheltenham Town - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
29.03.23	Cheltenham Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLTT
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
18.04.23	Forest Green Rovers - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Forest Green Rovers - Barnsley	1:5 ✺
10.04.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Forest Green Rovers - Derby County	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Portsmouth - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.12.22	Forest Green Rovers - Cheltenham Town	1:0
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Forest Green Rovers - Cheltenham Town	1:2 penalties
English League Two
30.01.21	Forest Green Rovers - Cheltenham Town	0:0
31.10.20	Cheltenham Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
02.11.19	Cheltenham Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
29.12.18	Cheltenham Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:2
20.10.18	Forest Green Rovers - Cheltenham Town	1:1

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