Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cheltenham Town		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.71
	4.75	3.6	1.66
	4.15	3.55	1.88
	4.41	3.59	1.83	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.9	3.57	1.71	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↓ (5.53)	3.54 ↓ (4.28)	1.76 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
20.6%

Draw
26.4%

Leicester City
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

21.9%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

19.6%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leicester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	16.7%	61.1%

Cheltenham Town - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Leicester will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Cheltenham (4.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leicester City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leicester (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 27. Tomkinson J. 6. Cundy R. 5. Wilson J. (C) 21. Nurse G. 26. Stevenson B. 16. Martin J. 8. Young L. 4. Kinsella L. 11. Thomas J. 20. Bickerstaff J.	31. Begovic A. (G) 56. Aluko O. 4. Nelson B. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 17. Choudhury H. (C) 22. Skipp O. 39. Thomas S. 25. Page L. 10. Mavididi S. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
28. Backwell T. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 10. Miller G. 39. Obieri S. 12. Power D. 25. Sohna H. 15. Taylor T. 30. Willcox F.	9. Ayew J. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 65. Evans J. 6. James J. 27. Marcal W. 28. Monga J. 5. Okoli C. 21. Pereira R. 13. Vieites F. (G)
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Daka P. ⚽, Mavididi S. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Mavididi S. ⚽, Skipp O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Vestergaard J. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
70', Daka P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
70', Kinsella L. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
70', Thomas S. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
77', Thomas J. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
77', Martin J. ↓, Power D. ↑,
87', Thomas L. 🟨,
87', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
89', Mavididi S. ↓, Marcal W. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Leicester is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cheltenham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Cheltenham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Leicester: 0.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
04.01.26	Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
01.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town	4:1 ✺
29.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	Barrow - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLLWW
- Leicester City
English League Championship
05.01.26	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Sheffield United - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
29.12.25	Leicester City - Derby County	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Leicester City - Watford	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.19	Cheltenham Town - Leicester City	1:2

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