Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 15

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Cambridge United		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.75
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.75	3.77	1.78
	4.75	3.77	1.79
	4.6	3.7	1.73
	4.6	3.72	1.74	Watch
	4.5	3.65	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (3.72)	3.7 ↑ (3.37)	1.75 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
20.6%

Draw
25.6%

Portsmouth
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.8%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

27.2%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portsmouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portsmouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	0%	96.8%

Cambridge United - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (30 of 31 users predict this - 96.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.55% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stevens J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 6. Bennett R. 5. Morrison M. (C) 3. Andrew D. 4. Digby P. 24. Cousins J. 7. Brophy J. 10. Lankester J. 14. Kaikai S. 23. Ahadme G.	1. Norris W. (G) 2. Swanson Z. 5. Poole R. 18. Shaughnessy C. 6. Ogilvie C. 16. Morrell J. (C) 8. Robertson A. 32. Lane P. 15. Saydee C. 25. Kamara A. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
27. Gordon J. 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 17. Janneh S. 25. Mannion W. (G) 19. May A. 9. Okenabirhie F. 8. Thomas G.	28. Anjorin F. 17. Rafferty J. 31. Schofield R. (G) 21. Sparkes J. 14. Stevenson B. 4. Towler R. 19. Yengi K.
Coaches
Bonner M.	Mousinho J.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.

Cambridge has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portsmouth is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Portsmouth have a series of home games.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
21.10.23	Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.10.23	Cambridge United - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
English League One
14.10.23	Cambridge United - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Burton Albion - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Cambridge United - Barnsley	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
21.10.23	Portsmouth - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Portsmouth - Gillingham	5:1 ✺
English League One
07.10.23	Portsmouth - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Portsmouth - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.03.23	Cambridge United - Portsmouth	0:1
16.08.22	Portsmouth - Cambridge United	4:1
English EFL Trophy
11.01.22	Cambridge United - Portsmouth	2:1
English League One
03.01.22	Cambridge United - Portsmouth	0:0
18.09.21	Portsmouth - Cambridge United	1:2
English League Two
22.04.17	Portsmouth - Cambridge United	2:1
29.10.16	Cambridge United - Portsmouth	0:1

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