Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 12

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5.5
	1.61	3.9	5
	1.63	4	5	Watch
	1.6	4.37	5.52
	1.62	4	5
	1.65	3.96	4.9	Watch
	1.65	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	4.06 ↑ (3.98)	5.12 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
58.3%

Draw
23.3%

Port Vale
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

22.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Portsmouth - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 16. Morrell J. (C) 14. Stevenson B. 32. Lane P. 15. Saydee C. 25. Kamara A. 9. Bishop C.	1. Ripley C. (G) 16. Lowe J. 6. Smith N. (C) 5. Balmer K. 4. Sang T. 18. Arblaster O. 14. Ojo F. 15. Grant C. 8. Garrity B. 10. Chislett E. 21. Plant J.
Substitutes
28. Anjorin F. 24. Devlin T. 31. Schofield R. (G) 2. Swanson Z. 4. Towler R. 11. Whyte G. 19. Yengi K.	2. Cass L. 11. Devine A. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 19. Massey G. 44. Thomas J. 24. Walters R. 29. Wilson J.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Crosby A.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 8).

Portsmouth in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Port Vale is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
03.10.23	Portsmouth - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Barnsley - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Derby County - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWT
- Port Vale
English League One
03.10.23	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.09.23	Port Vale - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English League One
23.09.23	Cambridge United - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	Port Vale - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.03.23	Portsmouth - Port Vale	2:2
27.08.22	Port Vale - Portsmouth	0:1

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