Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, Claro Sports, Marca Claro, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	CBS Sports Network, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Inter
World	Pluto TV


	Necaxa		Chivas Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.51	Watch
	5.4	4.45	1.52	Watch
	5.47	4.57	1.58
	5.27	4.56	1.55
	4.8	4	1.5
	5.33	4.57	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.65)	4.44 ↑ (3.9)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Necaxa
17.9%

Draw
21.1%

Chivas Guadalajara
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

23.1%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

22.7%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Unsain E. (G) 33. Martinez R. 4. Pena A. (C) 3. Oliveros A. 16. Calderon C. 30. Monreal R. 6. Leyva D. 5. Gutierrez K. 35. Ruiz J. 8. Faravelli L. 9. Badaloni T.	13. Whalley O. (G) 37. Ledezma R. (C) 23. Aguirre D. 7. Romo L. 19. Campillo Del Campo D. 5. Gonzalez B. 11. Gutierrez B. 28. Gonzalez F. 10. Alvarez E. 17. Marin R. 34. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
10. Almendra A. E. 232. Alonso R. 189. Casas B. 17. Cortez R. 12. Jimenez L. (G) 26. Lara E. 20. Mendez F. 7. Rosero K. 24. Rossano F. 188. Tello I.	67. Aguayo S. 25. Alvarado R. 26. Camberos H. 24. Gomez M. 31. Padilla Y. 18. Perez J. 1. Rangel R. (G) 226. Sandoval S. 3. Sepulveda G. 4. Tapias M.
Coaches
Varini M.	Milito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Monreal R. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
62', Ledezma R. ↓, Alvarado R. ↑,
62', Gutierrez B. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
66', Alvarez E. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
73', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
73', Calderon C. 🟨,
74', Calderon C. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
77', Martinez R. 🟨,
78', Romo L. 🟨,
82', Badaloni T. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
82', Marin R. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
82', Gutierrez K. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
90', Faravelli L. 🟨,
90+4', Pena A. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.

Necaxa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guadalajara is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Necaxa: Carranza J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Guadalajara: Govea O. (Calf Injury) Ledezma R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Sepulveda A. (Muscle Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guadalajara Chivas	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
18.04.26	Necaxa - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Querétaro - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Necaxa - Mazatlan	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Necaxa - Tijuana	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Puebla - Necaxa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWT
- Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX
18.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	5:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.03.26	Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
23.09.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	3:1
17.01.25	Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara	3:2
22.10.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	3:2
20.02.24	Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0
13.07.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	2:0
08.04.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	1:0
19.08.22	Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara	0:5

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