Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów)

Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Chrobry Głogów		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.48
	2.67	3.73	2.46
	2.48	3.34	2.72	Watch
	2.59	3.44	2.44
	2.61	3.13	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.61)	3.43 ↑ (3.13)	2.5 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
35.8%

Draw
27.1%

Polonia Warsaw
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Arndt D. (G) 21. Kozajda M. 8. Gric J. 18. Mazur M. 80. Tabis K. 16. Mandrysz R. (C) 23. Lewkot S. 27. Laskowski K. 30. Bartlewicz S. 9. Ozimek M. 10. Janczukowicz P.	1. Sandach A. (G) 2. Grudniewski M. (C) 20. Brasido D. 3. Salihu H. 99. Durmus I. 17. Dadok R. 26. Gnaase D. 16. Poczobut B. 19. Vasin N. 7. Vega D. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
71. Antkowiak G. 24. Grzelak K. 95. Lenarcik P. (G) 33. Malczuk N. 15. Nowakowski K. 11. Strozik S. 96. Szarek P. 31. Tworzydlo K. 44. Zarowny A.	10. Bajdur M. 77. Buksa A. 30. Cisse S. 18. Falbierski B. 14. Gorzedowski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 96. Kuchta M. (G) 44. Piotrowski B. 8. Wojciechowski O.
Coaches
Becella L.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Grudniewski M. 🟨,
17', Kozajda M. 🟨,
27', Salihu H. 🟨,
37', Sandach A. 🟥,
43', Gnaase D. ↓, Kuchta M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', Janczukowicz P. ↓, Strozik S. ↑,
68', Bartlewicz S. ↓, Nowakowski K. ↑,
69', Vasin N. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
69', Dadok R. ↓, Hoxhallari E. ↑,
72', Lewkot S. 🟨,
79', Durmus I. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
80', Ozimek M. ↓, Grzelak K. ↑,
84', Buksa A. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Mandrysz R. ⚽, Lewkot S. (A),
89', 2 - 0, Nowakowski K. ⚽, Grzelak K. (A),
90+2', Laskowski K. ↓, Tworzydlo K. ↑,
90+2', Lewkot S. ↓, Szarek P. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chrobry won 1.

Recent performances by Chrobry have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polonia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chrobry won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chrobry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chrobry Głogów - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Polonia Warsaw - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
03.10.25	Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	ŁKS Łódź - Chrobry Głogów	5:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.25	Ruch Chorzów - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLLW
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
03.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Gryf Słupsk - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.03.25	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	4:2
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	1:2
Polish Division 1
30.08.24	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	1:2
03.03.24	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	1:1
Club Friendly
17.01.24	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	1:3
Polish Division 1
19.08.23	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	0:3

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