Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 33

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video
Serbia	Arena Sport
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Clermont		Lyon

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.55	Watch
	5.25	4.6	1.53
	4.9	4.65	1.58	Watch
	5.56	4.8	1.56
	5.53	4.57	1.58
	5	4.75	1.53
	5.48	4.97	1.58	Watch
	5.3	4.85	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↑ (4.16)	4.69 ↑ (4.04)	1.56 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
18%

Draw
20.4%

Lyon
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.5%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.6%	5.5%	90.9%

Clermont - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (50 of 54 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.6% – 99.58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 97. Jacquet J. 4. Matsima C. 17. Pelmard A. 3. Neto Borges 7. Magnin Y. (C) 25. Gastien J. 26. Virginius A. 10. Muhammed Cham 18. Rashani E. 95. Kyei G.	1. Lopes A. (G) 22. Clinton Mata 12. O'Brien J. 55. Caleta-Car D. 21. Henrique 6. Caqueret M. (C) 31. Matic N. 25. Mangala O. 18. Cherki R. 9. Orban G. 11. Fofana M.
Substitutes
11. Allevinah J. 91. Bela J. 8. Boutobba B. 29. Fakili I. 6. Keita H. 28. M'Bahia I. 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 21. Ogier F. 2. Zeffane M.	14. Adryelson 17. Benrahma S. 34. Diawara M. 20. Kumbedi S. 10. Lacazette A. 23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 37. Nuamah E. 8. Tolisso C.
Coaches
Gastien P.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Mangala O. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
62', Orban G. 🟨,
67', Orban G. ↓, Nuamah E. ↑,
73', Gastien J. ↓, Keita H. ↑,
73', Rashani E. ↓, Allevinah J. ↑,
75', Cherki R. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
76', Henrique ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
80', Matic N. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
84', Muhammed Cham ↓, Boutobba B. ↑,
84', Virginius A. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
89', Clinton Mata 🟨,
90+2', Muhammed Cham 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

Recent matches Clermont is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lyon is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lyon is a favorite.

There will not play in Clermont: Allevinah J. (Injury) Gonalons M. (Injury) Konate C. O. (Injury) Mabrouk A. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
04.05.24	Monaco - Clermont	4:1 ✺
28.04.24	Clermont - Reims	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Lens - Clermont	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Clermont - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Clermont	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 LWLTT
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
06.05.24	Lille - Lyon	3:4 ✺
28.04.24	Lyon - Monaco	3:2 ✺
21.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	4:1 ✺
14.04.24	Lyon - Brest	4:3 ✺
07.04.24	Nantes - Lyon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
22.10.23	Lyon - Clermont	1:2
14.05.23	Clermont - Lyon	2:1
01.01.23	Lyon - Clermont	0:1
21.05.22	Clermont - Lyon	1:2
22.08.21	Lyon - Clermont	3:3

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