Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 25

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)


	Cobreloa		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.77	3.35	4.46
	1.23	5.35	13.30	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	3.75 ↑ (3.56)	5.94 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
57.5%

Draw
26%

Deportes Recoleta
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.9%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Cobreloa - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 6. Palma N. 17. Tapia D. 33. Heredia A. 21. Muga C. 23. Navarrete G. 30. Ledezma I. 7. Gotti G. 15. Valdes A. 42. Jara A.	22. Vargas J. (G) 2. Retamal V. 11. Viveros D. 14. Lara I. 18. Cepeda C. 12. Alvarado F. 17. Carvajal N. 19. Salinas Aguilar O. (C) 21. Marin C. 7. Cisterna J. 9. Estigarribia G.
Substitutes
25. Acevedo D. 24. Garcia L. 44. Huanca C. 18. Melendez J. 37. Navarro Y. 19. Rojo H. 31. Salazar A. (G)	10. Arguinarena M. 6. Espinoza G. 20. Flores J. 28. Fuenzalida I. 5. Hernandez A. 13. Narr J. (G) 16. Salazar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Valdes A. ⚽,
32', Salinas Aguilar O. 🟨,
37', Jara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Marin C. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
46', Retamal V. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
57', Cisterna J. ↓, Salazar D. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Jara A. ⚽,
80', Alvarado F. ↓, Espinoza G. ↑,
80', Navarrete G. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Jara A. ⚽,
88', Valdes A. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
88', Ledezma I. ↓, Huanca C. ↑,
88', Palma N. ↓, Rojo H. ↑,
90+1', Jara A. ↓, Navarro Y. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 0, Navarro Y. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cobreloa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobreloa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.09.25	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	Cobreloa - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Deportes Magallanes - Cobreloa	3:4 ✺
10.08.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Cobreloa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTWL
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.09.25	Deportes Recoleta - San Marcos de Arica	0:0 ✺
01.09.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Deportes Recoleta - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.05.25	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	0:1
08.09.23	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	1:2
11.05.23	Cobreloa - Deportes Recoleta	3:0
15.09.22	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	0:1
23.04.22	Cobreloa - Deportes Recoleta	3:0

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