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Current Win Probability
Cobreloa 52.8%
Draw 24.8%
Deportes Recoleta 22.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.6%
24.4%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
24.7%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Cobreloa - Deportes Recoleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 6. Tapia M. 17. Tapia D. 14. Aranguiz T. 15. Garcia D. 21. Muga C. 29. Gatica J. 32. Velazco F. 11. Gotti G. 22. Delgado A.
23. Salazar A. (G) 4. Tomarelli F. 5. Alarcon F. 6. Espinoza J. 14. Lara I. (C) 9. Estigarribia G. 17. Carvajal N. 16. Viveros B. 19. Sanchez P. 20. Gonzalez C. 21. Alvarez G.
Substitutes
8. Cornejo L. 37. Duma J. 7. Insaurralde C. 19. Navarro Y. 38. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 27. Sandoval M. 30. Tapia D. (G)
10. Arguinarena M. 3. Arismendy N. 15. Baez F. 18. Cepeda C. 27. Flores F. 33. Riveros R. 22. Vargas J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
19', Tomarelli F. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Delgado A. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Gotti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Tomarelli F. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, Gotti G. ⚽,
56', Gatica J. ↓, Insaurralde C. ↑,
68', Delgado A. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
68', Velazco F. ↓, Duma J. ↑,
68', Sanchez P. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
68', Lara I. ↓, Arismendy N. ↑,
69', Alvarez G. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
69', Carvajal N. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Estigarribia G. ⚽,
76', Tapia M. ↓, Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↑,
79', Viveros B. 🟨,
81', 5 - 1, Duma J. ⚽,
85', Viveros B. 🟨,
86', 6 - 1, Gotti G. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 6th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 4.
In recent outings, Cobreloa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recoleta shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cobreloa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Cobreloa carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Cobreloa has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:3 (averaging 2.3:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cobreloa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:0 goals (averaging 3.3:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Cobreloa
29
15
9
5
52:30
22
54
7
Recoleta
29
11
9
9
41:43
-2
42
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Recoleta - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 21.94%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 
Muga C. 
Velazco F. 
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