The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 29.2%
Draw 31.5%
Northampton Town 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
30%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
29.1%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colchester United's form might have worsened.
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Colchester United - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
Colchester has the most likely position - 19 (17.41%), has project points - 51, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Northampton has the most likely position - 4 (14.95%), has project points - 76, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (37%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has small quality11, importance31, small match rating21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.
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