Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Colchester United		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.65
	4.33	3.5	1.68
	4.95	3.7	1.72
	4.8	3.75	1.68
	5.51	3.78	1.66
	5.25	3.7	1.63
	5.1	3.82	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.29)	3.71 ↑ (3.52)	1.67 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
18.6%

Draw
25.3%

Wigan Athletic
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.9%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

20.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colchester United's form might have worsened.

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wigan Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Colchester United - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Colchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wigan is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Wigan have a series of guest games.

In this match Wigan is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English EFL Trophy
30.11.21	Swindon Town - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
English League Two
26.11.21	Colchester United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
23.11.21	Colchester United - Exeter City	3:1 ✺
20.11.21	Stevenage Borough - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Ipswich Town - Colchester United	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWLL
- Wigan Athletic
English EFL Trophy
30.11.21	Accrington Stanley - Wigan Athletic	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
27.11.21	Plymouth Argyle - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.11.21	Cambridge United - Wigan Athletic	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.11.21	Solihull Moors - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ET ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.11.21	Wigan Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.03.16	Colchester United - Wigan Athletic	3:3
17.10.15	Wigan Athletic - Colchester United	5:0

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