Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Confiança		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.98
	3.9	3.1	1.88
	4.3	3.05	1.88
	4.36	3.1	2.08
	4	3.1	1.95
	4.3	3.24	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.35)	3.12 ↓ (3.32)	1.95 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
22.6%

Draw
29.8%

Vasco da Gama
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

28.6%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.5%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	20%	28%

Confiança - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Confiança: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 8).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.21	Coritiba - Confiança	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Confiança - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:0 ✺
17.09.21	Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
07.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWTWT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
27.09.21	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	2:0 ✺
24.09.21	Brusque - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
16.09.21	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
06.09.21	Avaí - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Confiança	1:0

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