The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avaí 34.5%
Draw 32.5%
Vasco da Gama 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
31.5%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
22.9%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Avaí - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.5% – 77.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
Recent matches Avaí is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vasco is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Avaí won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
Watch
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