Match Info

Date: 28 June 2022, Tuesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Tobar Vargas R. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Corinthians		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	3.4	Watch
	2.45	2.7	3.3
	2.55	2.9	3.2
	2.47	2.7	3.25
	2.55	2.84	3.52
	2.4	2.62	3.3	Watch
	2.63	2.94	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.12)	2.79 ↓ (3.03)	3.36 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
37.9%

Draw
33.9%

Boca Juniors
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.9%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

32.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
49%	33.3%	17.6%

Corinthians - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 25 - 49%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 9 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 35.3% – 62.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Corinthians is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Corinthians have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.22	Corinthians - Santos	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.06.22	Corinthians - Santos	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.06.22	Corinthians - Goiás	1:0 ✺
15.06.22	Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
11.06.22	Corinthians - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWTW
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.06.22	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
19.06.22	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:3 ✺
15.06.22	Boca Juniors - Tigre	5:3 ✺
12.06.22	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.06.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
17.05.22	Boca Juniors - Corinthians	1:1
26.04.22	Corinthians - Boca Juniors	2:0
15.05.13	Corinthians - Boca Juniors	1:1
01.05.13	Boca Juniors - Corinthians	1:0
04.07.12	Corinthians - Boca Juniors	N/A

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