Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
France	beIN Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Coventry City		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.45	Watch
	5.75	4.75	1.5
	6.5	4.75	1.48	Watch
	6.41	4.96	1.49
	6.41	4.96	1.47
	6.5	4.8	1.44
	6.47	5.03	1.51	Watch
	6.2	4.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↓ (6.55)	4.86 ↓ (4.95)	1.48 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
15.1%

Draw
19.8%

Manchester United
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

19.2%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

20.6%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	10.9%	71.7%

Coventry City - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 8 - 17.4%). Man Utd will win (votes: 33 - 71.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 58.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Collins B. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 15. Kitching L. 14. Sheaf B. (C) 10. O'Hare C. 28. Eccles J. 21. Bidwell J. 11. Wright H. 9. Simms E.	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Dalot D. 18. Casemiro 5. Maguire H. 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 39. McTominay S. 37. Mainoo K. 17. Garnacho A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Rashford M. 11. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
8. Allen J. 54. Andrews K. 2. Binks L. 3. Dasilva J. 24. Godden M. 6. Kelly L. 30. Tavares F. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G)	70. Amass H. 21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 16. Diallo A. 14. Eriksen C. 62. Forson O. 78. Jackson L. 75. Ogunneye H. 84. Wheatley E.
Coaches
Robins M.	ten Hag E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽, Dalot D. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Maguire H. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', 0 - 3, Fernandes B. ⚽,
63', Latibeaudiere J. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
63', Kitching L. ↓, Binks L. ↑,
63', Eccles J. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
66', Garnacho A. ↓, Antony ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Simms E. ⚽, Tavares F. (A),
72', Mainoo K. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, O'Hare C. ⚽, Simms E. (A),
80', Bidwell J. ↓, Dasilva J. ↑,
82', Thomas B. 🟨,
86', Onana A. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 3, Wright H. (Pen),
90+7', Rashford M. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
103', McTominay S. ↓, Forson O. ↑,
105', Tavares F. ↓, Godden M. ↑,
111', Dasilva J. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Casemiro (Pen),
1, Wright H. (Pen),
2, Dalot D. (Pen),
2, Torp V. (Pen),
3, Eriksen C. (Pen),
3, O'Hare C. (Pen),
4, Fernandes B. (Pen),
4, Sheaf B. (Pen),
5, Hojlund R. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
13.04.24	Birmingham City - Coventry City	3:0 ✺
09.04.24	Southampton - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Coventry City - Leeds United	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Coventry City - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Huddersfield Town - Coventry City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
13.04.24	Bournemouth - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
04.04.24	Chelsea - Manchester United	4:3 ✺
30.03.24	Brentford - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.03.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLTW

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