Match Info

Championship - Round 26

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham City		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.6	3.52	2.6	Watch
	2.62	3.54	2.57	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.5
	2.81	3.5	2.57	Watch
	2.66	3.5	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 (2.65)	3.46 (3.46)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
35.8%

Draw
27.3%

Coventry City
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.3%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32%	36%	32%

Birmingham City - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Coventry will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.2% – 54.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Coventry (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Coventry (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Coventry (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.12) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 3 - 30%). Coventry (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Beadle J. (G) 24. Iwata T. (C) 5. Neumann P. 6. Robinson J. 31. Wagner K. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 7. Doyle T. 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 30. Koumas L. 33. Ducksch M.	19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. (C) 5. Rudoni J. 7. Sakamoto T. 28. Eccles J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 9. Simms E.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 41. Cashin E. 27. Fujimoto K. 9. Furuhashi K. 42. Isichei D. 40. Mazwi M. 23. Sampsted A. 18. Willumsson W. T. 11. Wright S.	54. Andrews K. 21. Bidwell J. 33. Brau M. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 41. Perry C. 50. Shepherd G. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L. 11. Wright H.
Coaches
Davies C.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ducksch M. ⚽, Wagner K. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Eccles J. ⚽, Mason-Clark E. (A),
17', 2 - 1, Koumas L. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
36', Ducksch M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Wagner K. 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, Simms E. ⚽, Rudoni J. (A),
63', 3 - 2, Ducksch M. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
65', Koumas L. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
67', Sakamoto T. ↓, Wright H. ↑,
71', Wagner K. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
72', Roberts P. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
72', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
86', Eccles J. 🟨,
88', Beadle J. 🟨,
89', Eccles J. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
90+3', Stansfield J. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
90+5', Thomas B. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.

Birmingham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Coventry has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Gray D. (Injury) Klarer C. (Red Card) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (International duty) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Thomas-Asante B. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 4.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	12:11	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Coventry City - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.05%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
01.01.26	Watford - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
29.12.25	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Birmingham City - Derby County	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Sheffield United - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLT
- Coventry City
English League Championship
01.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Coventry City - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Coventry City - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Southampton - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Coventry City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.09.25	Coventry City - Birmingham City	3:0
13.04.24	Birmingham City - Coventry City	3:0
08.12.23	Coventry City - Birmingham City	2:0
29.04.23	Coventry City - Birmingham City	2:0
17.09.22	Birmingham City - Coventry City	0:0
15.04.22	Birmingham City - Coventry City	2:4
23.11.21	Coventry City - Birmingham City	0:0

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