Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)


	Coventry City		Reading

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7.5
	1.49	4.2	6.75
	1.55	4.1	6.5
	1.44	4.62	8.37
	1.47	4	7
	1.46	4.4	7.1	Watch
	1.47	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.7)	4.29 ↑ (3.44)	7.17 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
64.5%

Draw
22.2%

Reading
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

27.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

26.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coventry City's performance.

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coventry City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Coventry City - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: Coventry City will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Coventry has the most likely position - 7 (19.56%), project points - 68, currently - 63, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), a small chance of promoted (6%), not chance of win league.

Reading has the most likely position - 22 (31.45%), project points - 46, currently - 43, a chance of relegated (37%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 38, importance 55, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coventry won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Coventry is certain favorite.

There will not play in Coventry: Allen J. (Injury) O'Hare C. (Knee Injury) Palmer K. (Muscle Injury) Tavares F. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Reading: Baba A. (Leg Injury) Carroll A. (Red Card) Ejaria O. (Knee Injury) Hoilett J. (Muscle Injury) Hutchinson S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ince T. (Injury) Long S. (Injury) McIntyre T. (Injury) Moore L. (Injury) Tetek D. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Coventry: Moore S. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Coventry won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Coventry won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
19.04.23	Blackburn Rovers - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Queens Park Rangers - Coventry City	0:3 ✺
10.04.23	Coventry City - Watford	2:2 ✺
07.04.23	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Coventry City - Stoke City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTTL
- Reading
English League Championship
19.04.23	Reading - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Reading - Burnley	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Preston North End - Reading	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Reading - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Bristol City - Reading	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.12.22	Reading - Coventry City	1:0
12.02.22	Reading - Coventry City	2:3
21.08.21	Coventry City - Reading	2:1
19.01.21	Reading - Coventry City	3:0
30.10.20	Coventry City - Reading	3:2
11.02.12	Reading - Coventry City	2:0

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