Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Swansea City		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.03	3.56	3.56	Watch
	2.06	3.49	3.81
	2.03	3.48	3.68	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.06	3.34	3.54	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)	3.42 ↑ (3.41)	3.65 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
46.4%

Draw
27.7%

Portsmouth
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	19.2%	7.7%

Swansea City - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 6. Stamenic M. 17. Franco G. 35. Ronald 7. Widell M. 10. Eom J. 33. Idah A.	1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 14. Matthews H. 17. Bowat I. 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 8. Swift J. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk 36. Chaplin C. 23. Murphy J. 49. Lang C.
Substitutes
26. Casey K. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 27. Inoussa Z. 2. Key J. 16. Samuels-Smith I. 9. Vipotnik Z. 8. Yalcouye M.	9. Bishop C. 29. Blair H. 26. Bursik J. (G) 25. Kirk M. 18. Kosznovszky M. 16. Le Roux L. 10. Segecic A. 44. Sizer A. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cabango B. 🟨,
45+2', Franco G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Swanson Z. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
56', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
57', Widell M. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
61', Swift J. 🟨,
67', Williams J. 🟨,
70', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
70', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Blair H. ↑,
70', Lang C. ↓, Bishop C. ↑,
71', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
72', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Cullen L. ⚽, Yalcouye M. (A),
87', Matthews H. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
90', Galbraith E. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
90+3', Pack M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Swansea could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Swansea won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
06.12.25	Swansea City - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	3:2 ✺
25.11.25	Swansea City - Derby County	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Bristol City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
29.11.25	Portsmouth - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	Sheffield United - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Portsmouth - Millwall	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hull City - Portsmouth	3:2 ✺
05.11.25	Portsmouth - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.01.25	Portsmouth - Swansea City	4:0
30.11.24	Swansea City - Portsmouth	2:2

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