Match Info

Championship - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Oxford United		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.33	3.36	3.07	Watch
	2.47	3.39	3.14
	2.4	3.32	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.54	3.33	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.65)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	3.01 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
39.7%

Draw
28.9%

Wrexham
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	23.5%	41.2%

Oxford United - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 15. Spencer B. 5. Konak Y. E. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 17. Mills S. 38. McDonnell J. 44. Peart-Harris M. 27. Lankshear W.	21. Ward D. (G) 5. Hyam D. (C) 24. Scarr D. 2. Doyle C. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 14. Thomason G. 10. Windass J. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
33. Donley J. 10. Emakhu A. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 32. Jeon Jin-Woo 37. Makosso C. 24. ter Avest H. 11. ter Haar Romeny O. 4. Vaulks W.	33. Broadhead N. 3. Brunt L. 11. Cadamarteri B. 4. Cleworth M. 12. Kabore I. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 19. Moore K. 27. O'Brien L. 1. Okonkwo A. (G)
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Longman R. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Windass J. ⚽, Smith S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Longman R. ↓, Kabore I. ↑,
56', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
56', McDonnell J. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
62', Emakhu A. 🟨,
66', Kabore I. 🟨,
67', Konak Y. E. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
67', Long S. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
70', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
71', Smith S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
88', Spencer B. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
90+2', Mills S. 🟨,
90+3', Windass J. ↓, Cleworth M. ↑,
90+4', Dobson G. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B. (Shoulder Injury) Goodrham T. (Ankle Injury) Leigh G. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Hamstring Injury) James A. (Knee Injury) O'Connor T. (Hamstring Injury) Sheaf B. (Knee Injury) Vyner Z. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Oxford: Currie J. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 1.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
18.04.26	Derby County - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Oxford United - Watford	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Portsmouth - Oxford United	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Oxford United - Hull City	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Southampton - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTTL
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
18.04.26	Wrexham - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Birmingham City - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Wrexham - Southampton	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Sheffield United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.10.25	Wrexham - Oxford United	1:0
English FA Cup
09.12.13	Wrexham - Oxford United	1:2

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