The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 32.9%
Draw 31.1%
Port Vale 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
29.6%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
29.8%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Marschall F. (G) 5. Demetriou M. (C) 26. O'Riordan C. 4. Williams Z. 28. Billington L. 30. Lowery T. 11. Tabiner J. 25. Conway M. 7. Long Ch. 17. Holicek M. 15. Hemmings K.
13. Amos B. (G) 22. Debrah J. 6. Smith N. 5. Hall C. 20. Sang T. 8. Garrity B. (C) 18. Croasdale R. 2. Clark M. 19. Tolaj L. 38. Walters R. 9. Stockley J.
Substitutes
9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 2. Cooney R. 3. Knight-Lebel J. 14. Lankester J. 23. Powell J. 6. Sanders M. H.
40. Broome N. (G) 11. Curtis R. 32. Hackford A. 45. Harper R. 16. Lowe J. 26. Richards R. 23. Shorrock J.
Coaches
Bell L.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Tabiner J. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
42', Clark M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Demetriou M. 🟨,
51', Williams Z. 🟨,
59', Holicek M. 🟨,
69', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
71', Walters R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
72', Sang T. 🟨,
76', Long Ch. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
83', Sang T. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽,
88', Billington L. ↓, Cooney R. ↑,
89', Williams Z. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
89', Tolaj L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
90+3', Shorrock J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 0.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Finney C.
(Injury)
Robinson N.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Inactive)
Chislett E.
(Inactive)
Headley J.
(Muscle Injury)
Heneghan B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Holicek M.
(Injury)
Tracey S.
(Leg Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.8:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.48%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Marschall F. (G) 
Demetriou M. (C) 
O'Riordan C. 
Williams Z. 
Holicek M. 
Tolaj L. 
Moore D. 
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