Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 2

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Criciúma		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.45	5.15
	1.64	3.7	6.1
	1.71	3.42	5.33	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.71	3.4	5.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)	5.33 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
55.4%

Draw
27%

Athletic Club
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

27.5%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

27.7%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Criciúma - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 34. Bruno Alves 13. Waguininho 5. Eduardo 7. Fellipe Mateus 22. Marcelo Hermes 10. Jhonata Robert 91. Otero R. 9. Nicolas	1. Luan Polli (G) 2. Diogo Batista 3. Jhonatan Silva 4. Belezi 6. Zeca (C) 8. Cabezas G. 5. Ian Luccas 7. Vera D. 15. Jota 11. Ruan Assis 9. Tavares R.
Substitutes
32. Airton (G) 77. Diego Goncalves 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 21. Joao Carlos 2. Leo Mana 4. Luciano Castan 6. Marcinho 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 50. Thiaguinho	14. Bruninho 13. Gabriel Indio 19. Gabriel Moyses 12. Glauco (G) 10. Gustavinho 16. Joao Miguel 17. Kauan Rodrigues 18. Pedro Oliveira
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Alex Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Tavares R. ⚽,
11', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
14', Jota 🟨,
17', Ruan Assis 🟨,
23', Glauco 🟨,
30', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
32', Bruno Alves ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
36', Vera D. 🟨,
40', Nicolas 🟨,
43', Vera D. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jota ↓, Joao Miguel ↑,
46', Ruan Assis ↓, Gabriel Indio ↑,
46', Eduardo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
58', Cabezas G. ↓, Kauan Rodrigues ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Jhonata Robert (Penalty Awarded),
68', Otero R. ↓, Romarinho ↑,
68', Hiago Alves 🟨,
79', Jhonata Robert ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
79', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
88', Ian Luccas ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,

Preview

Criciúma is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Athletic is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Criciúma is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Gui Lobo (Inactive) Kaua Moroso (Back Injury) Sandry (Knee Injury) Yuri Tanque (Inactive)

There will not play in Athletic: Fabricio Isidoro (Inactive) Rodrigo Gelado (Inactive) Sidimar (Inactive)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Caue Santos (Achilles Tendon Injury) Marcinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Vera D. (Inactive)

We predict that Criciúma will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88% Athletic Club: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42

Last Results with these Odds

Criciúma - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
07.03.26	Criciúma - Camboriú	4:2 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Brusque - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Criciúma - Concórdia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWW
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Athletic Club - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Sport Recife - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
11.03.26	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Athletic Club	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.26	Athletic Club - Tombense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.08.25	Athletic Club - Criciúma	1:1
17.04.25	Criciúma - Athletic Club	4:0

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