Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 24

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Peru	L1 Play, Liga 1 Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz


	Criciúma		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.6
	2.7	3.2	2.65
	2.8	3.26	2.71
	2.78	3.27	2.71	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.88
	2.7	3.28	2.64	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.79)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)	2.68 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
35.3%

Draw
29.4%

Grêmio
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

30.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Criciúma - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 29. Figueiredo T. 14. Trauco M. 8. Newton 5. Higor Meritao 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 22. Marcelo Hermes 11. Bolasie Y. 45. Arthur Caike	1. Marchesin A. (G) 18. Joao Pedro 5. Rodrigo Ely 28. Jemerson 6. Reinaldo 17. Dodi 20. Villasanti M. (C) 11. Monsalve M. 10. Cristaldo F. 22. Braithwaite M. 7. Soteldo Y.
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 30. Alves H. 20. Dudu 15. Eliedson 7. Fellipe Mateus 17. Matheusinho 85. Patrick de Paula 6. Ronald Lopes 35. Serginho 32. Teixeira M. (G) 33. Walisson Maia 77. Werik Popo	16. Aravena A. 9. Arezo M. 15. Edenilson 2. Fabio 53. Gustavo Martins 14. Nathan 32. Nathan Fernandes 3. Pedro Geromel 23. Pepe 33. Rafael Cabral (G) 30. Rodrigo Caio 35. Ronald
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Higor Meritao 🟨,
41', Cristaldo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Trauco M. ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
56', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
65', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
65', Higor Meritao ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
72', Braithwaite M. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
73', Cristaldo F. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
74', Claudinho ↓, Dudu ↑,
74', Newton ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Monsalve M. ⚽, Aravena A. (A),
89', Monsalve M. ↓, Ronald ↑,
89', Soteldo Y. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
90+2', Dodi ↓, Gustavo Martins ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique (Injury) Jhonata Robert (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
18.08.24	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Fortaleza - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Criciúma - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Juventude - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Criciúma - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLWWT
- Grêmio RS
Copa Libertadores
20.08.24	Fluminense - Grêmio	3:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.08.24	Grêmio - Bahia	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.24	Grêmio - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.08.24	Cuiabá - Grêmio	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.08.24	Grêmio - Corinthians	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.08.22	Criciúma - Grêmio	2:0
19.05.22	Grêmio - Criciúma	0:0
Copa do Brasil
21.07.15	Criciúma - Grêmio	0:2 penalties
14.07.15	Grêmio - Criciúma	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
15.11.14	Criciúma - Grêmio	0:3
17.08.14	Grêmio - Criciúma	2:0
09.10.13	Grêmio - Criciúma	1:2

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