Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: da Cruz Y. E. F. (Bra)


	Criciúma		Mirassol

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3	3.3	Watch
	2.42	2.9	3.63
	2.2	2.8	3.2
	2.28	3.06	3.42	Watch
	2.31	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.11)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)	3.36 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
40.5%

Draw
31.7%

Mirassol
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

30.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	55.6%	0%

Criciúma - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 3. Rodrigo (C) 33. Walisson 22. Marcelo Hermes 27. Claudinho 8. Arilson 17. Romulo 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 11. Fabinho 23. Eder 7. Fellipe Mateus	1. Alex Muralha (G) 2. Lucas Ramon 3. Rodrigo Sam 4. Luiz Otavio 6. Guilherme Biro 5. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 10. Gabriel (C) 7. Chico Kim 9. Ze Roberto 11. Negueba
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 88. Barreto 2. Cristovam 18. Crystopher 55. Fernando Canesin 6. Helder Santos 31. Hygor 70. Italo Melo 5. Leo Costa 19. Lohan 14. Matheus Mancini 15. Welinton Torrao	20. Camilo 12. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Cristian Renato 17. Fernandinho 18. Julimar 21. Leandro Vilela 13. Renie 16. Rodrigo Ferreira 14. Thalisson Kelven 15. Yuri Lima
Coaches
Tencati C.	Mozart

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Criciúma will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Criciúma: Tony (Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Manoel (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
09.09.23	Sport Recife - Criciúma	3:3 ✺
02.09.23	Ceará - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
22.08.23	Criciúma - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Ituano - Criciúma	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Criciúma - Londrina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLW
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
09.09.23	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	Mirassol - Marília	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
01.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.08.23	Grêmio Prudente - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
23.08.23	Mirassol - Comercial SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.05.23	Mirassol - Criciúma	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
18.09.21	Criciúma - Mirassol	3:0
17.07.21	Mirassol - Criciúma	2:0

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