Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Palmeiras		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6.75
	1.49	4	7	Watch
	1.5	3.9	7.85
	1.49	3.89	7.85
	1.44	3.9	7
	1.52	4.1	7.18	Watch
	1.48	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	3.97 (3.97)	7.09 ↑ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
63.1%

Draw
23.7%

San Lorenzo
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.7%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

23.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Palmeiras - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 15. Gustavo Gomez (C) 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 27. Rios R. 5. Moreno A. 31. Luis Guilherme 23. Raphael Veiga 41. Estevao 9. Endrick	13. Altamirano F. (G) 35. Lujan G. 8. Giay A. 4. Romana J. 22. Campi G. 21. Braida M. 41. Leguizamon I. 17. Irala E. 5. Remedi E. 28. Cuello A. 11. Bareiro A. (C)
Substitutes
16. Caio Paulista 35. Fabinho 42. Flaco Lopez 25. Gabriel Menino 17. Lazaro 13. Luan 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 12. Mayke 20. Romulo 10. Rony 6. Vanderlan 8. Ze Rafael	37. Baez E. 29. Blanco S. 7. Cerutti E. 1. Clemente M. (G) 18. Ferreira C. 27. Herazo D. 2. Hernandez N. 16. Lopez L. (G) 50. Perruzzi F. 6. Sanchez C. 32. Tapia I. 9. Tarragona C.
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Romagnoli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Cuello A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Estevao ↓, Rony ↑,
63', Raphael Veiga ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
65', Rios R. 🟨,
70', Endrick ↓, Romulo ↑,
76', Romana J. 🟨,
80', Moreno A. ↓, Mayke ↑,
81', Gustavo Gomez ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
87', Cuello A. ↓, Cerutti E. ↑,
90', Braida M. 🟨,
90+1', Bareiro A. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
90+4', Leguizamon I. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,

Preview

Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Palmeiras is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Palmeiras is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.24	Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.05.24	Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.05.24	Cuiabá - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLWW
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.24	San Lorenzo - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.05.24	San Lorenzo - Liverpool Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.24	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Liverpool Montevideo - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	San Lorenzo - Palmeiras	1:1
08.05.19	Palmeiras - San Lorenzo	1:0
02.04.19	San Lorenzo - Palmeiras	1:0

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