Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Cuiabá		Londrina

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.20	5.50	Watch
	1.73	3.10	5.00
	1.84	3.15	4.70	Watch
	1.79	3.25	6.45
	1.87	2.83	5.68	Watch
	1.78	3.15	5.65
	1.76	3.21	5.26	Watch
	1.75	3.15	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.93)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	5.46 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
52.8%

Draw
30%

Londrina
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

29.6%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Cuiabá - Londrina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cuiabá will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 37. Raylan 13. Joao Basso 30. Raul 33. Alan Empereur (C) 6. Marlon 8. Pepe 5. Calebe Costa 20. David Miguel 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 41. Kauan Cristtyan	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 3. Yago Lincoln 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 5. Andre Luiz 7. Vitinho Mota 8. Lucas Marques (C) 18. Paulinho Moccelin 32. Joao Tavares 9. Bruno Santos
Substitutes
14. Eric Melo 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 34. Jean (G) 1. Joao Carlos (G) 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 23. Marcos Junior 2. Nino Paraiba 17. Victor Barbara 29. Vinicius Peixoto 4. Vitor Mendes 53. Weverson	17. Andre Cardoso 55. Caio Rafael 44. Caio Rodrigues 10. Gilberto 77. Juninho 33. Kevyn 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 6. Rafael Monteiro 96. Thalis 4. Wallace 2. Weverton
Coaches
Barros E.	Rogerio Micale

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Bruno Santos (Penalty Awarded),
19', Pepe 🟨,
24', Heron ↓, Kevyn ↑,
40', Bruno Santos 🟨,
45+5', Raylan 🟨,
45+7', 0 - 2, Bruno Santos ⚽, Vitinho Mota (A),
45+7', Joao Carlos 🟨,
45+7', Joao Carlos 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', David Miguel ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
60', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
60', Marlon ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
60', Raylan ↓, Weverson ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Vinicius Peixoto ⚽, Kauan Cristtyan (A),
67', Joao Tavares ↓, Thalis ↑,
67', Vitinho Mota ↓, Wallace ↑,
73', Lucas Marques ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
73', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Juninho ↑,
75', Kevyn 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Vinicius Peixoto ⚽,
81', Juninho 🟨,
85', Yago Lincoln 🟨,
90+4', Calebe Costa 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Cuiabá is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Injury) Eliel (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Londrina: Gilberto (Leg Injury) Iago Teles (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Hernades (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Cuiaba: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
21.06.26	Avaí - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
09.06.26	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
20.06.26	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Londrina - Avaí	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Londrina - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Fortaleza - Londrina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.10.19	Cuiabá - Londrina	0:1
07.06.19	Londrina - Cuiabá	1:0

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