Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Danubio		La Luz

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.22	3.36	3.56
	2.2	3.36	3.56
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.06	3.3	3.44	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.87)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)	3.39 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Danubio
44%

Draw
28.4%

La Luz
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Danubio's form might have worsened.

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Danubio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Danubio - La Luz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (G) 17. Haller R. 21. Rea M. 20. Ferreira L. 6. Sosa L. (C) 16. Cruz Techera A. 19. Romero S. 34. Lewis K. 18. Bueno G. 9. Vera D. 30. Fernandez S.	25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 13. Ancheta E. 2. Paolini M. 3. Padula Lenna G. 23. Castillo E. 14. Porcile P. 15. Gonzalez A. 16. Hernandez A. (C) 7. Boselli J. 26. Machado L. 30. Quintana J.
Substitutes
27. Arguello M. 32. Bermudez E. (G) 4. Faria F. 14. Millan J. 25. Montana A. 23. Pintos I. 8. Rodriguez R. 11. Rossi N. 22. Saravia F. 5. Silva S.	28. Barreto F. 22. Fagundez P. 99. Gonzalez D. 11. Lemos E. 6. Martirena F. 1. Mendez R. (G) 18. Piriz M. 21. Pucheta J. 20. Rabunal M. 29. Ramis J.
Coaches
Saralegui M.	Russo M.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches Danubio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

La Luz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Danubio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Danubio is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.11.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
15.11.23	Nacional Montevideo - Danubio	1:3 ✺
11.11.23	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTWWT
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.23	La Luz - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	1:0 ✺
16.11.23	Boston River - La Luz	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	La Luz - Cerro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
23.06.23	La Luz - Danubio	0:2
07.05.23	La Luz - Danubio	3:1

Upcoming Matches