Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.48	3.65	2.16
	3.48	3.66	2.14
	3.1	3.6	2.1
	3.32	3.68	2.12	Watch
	3.35	3.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.99)	3.62 ↓ (3.65)	2.13 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
28.7%

Draw
26.4%

Wolfsburg
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.4%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	40%	44%

Darmstadt - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 14. Klarer C. 38. Riedel C. 3. Isherwood T. 27. Skarke T. 23. Gjasula K. 8. Schnellhardt F. 19. Karic E. 28. Franjic B. 18. Honsak M. 24. Pfeiffer L.	1. Casteels K. (C) 3. Bornauw S. 25. Jenz M. 4. Lacroix M. 20. Baku R. 6. Vranckx A. 21. Maehle J. 32. Svanberg M. 31. Gerhardt Y. 23. Wind J. 19. Majer L.
Substitutes
26. Bader M. 13. Behrens M. (G) 30. Brunst A. (G) 11. Kempe T. 5. Maglica M. 16. Muller A. 20. Muller J. 17. Ronstadt F. 42. Torsiello F.	41. Amoako K. J. 7. Cerny V. 8. Cozza N. 2. Fischer K. 16. Kaminski J. 40. Paredes K. 12. Pervan P. (G) 11. Tomas T. 5. Zesiger C.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Kovac N.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).

The competitors look crappy now.

Wolfsburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wolfsburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F. (Ankle Injury) Manu B. M. (Ankle Injury) Mehlem M. (Broken Leg) Nurnberger F. (Ankle Injury) Zimmermann C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Arnold M. (Yellow Cards) Lange F. (Ankle Injury) Nmecha L. (Knee Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Sarr A. (Knee Injury) Wimmer P. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Holland F. (Illness)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
09.12.23	Heidenheim - Darmstadt	3:2 ✺
01.12.23	Darmstadt - Köln	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Freiburg - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Darmstadt - Mainz	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Darmstadt - Bochum	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
09.12.23	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.12.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:0 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
02.12.23	Bochum - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.03.17	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	1:0
22.10.16	Darmstadt - Wolfsburg	3:1
19.03.16	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	1:1
24.10.15	Darmstadt - Wolfsburg	0:1
German DFB Pokal
17.08.14	Darmstadt - Wolfsburg	0:1 penalties

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