The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 32.3%
Draw 31.8%
Unión Santa Fe 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
32.4%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
32.8%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
66.7%
11.1%
Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Unión will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Unión (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 29. Fernandez D. 6. Amor E. 21. Martinez D. (C) 33. Souto L. 15. Sosa S. 10. Molinas A. 27. Pereyra E. 24. Gutierrez J. 20. Botta R. 17. Hausch A.
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 23. Solari A. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 25. Tarragona C. 19. Estigarribia M.
Substitutes
25. Altamira F. 36. Amade L. (G) 11. Banega E. 19. Barbona D. 26. Caceres D. 31. Coria A. 30. Fernandez D. 9. Gonzalez L. 55. Lopez J. 2. Lucero S. 32. Roselli N. 18. Toloza S.
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 9. Colazo A. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 46. Grella S. 5. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 8. Palavecino N. 12. Pitton B.
Coaches
Soso M.
Madelon L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Cuello B. 🟨,
32', Fernandez D. 🟨,
35', Botta R. 🟥,
36', Mansilla M. 🟨,
36', Pitton M. 🟨,
36', Martinez D. 🟨,
37', Soso M. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fernandez D. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
55', Hausch A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
65', Pereyra E. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
68', Solari A. ↓, Grella S. ↑,
69', Cuello B. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Souto L. ⚽, Molinas A. (A),
73', Pitton M. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
73', Vargas L. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽,
90', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lucero S. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
Recent performances by Defensa y Justicia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Osorio A.
(Injury)
Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
Portillo A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Unión: Paz N.
(Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
Argentina
Usa
Venezuela
World
Watch
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Fiermarin C. (G) 
Fernandez D. 
Amor E. 
Martinez D. (C) 
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