Match Info

Date: 18 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Referee: Rapallini F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3


	Deportes Tolima		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4.2
	1.94	3.4	4.1
	1.91	3.15	4.1
	1.94	3.3	4.61
	1.91	3.1	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.42	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.75)	3.28 ↓ (3.47)	4.19 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
49%

Draw
28.6%

América Mineiro
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

28%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	34.8%	21.7%

Deportes Tolima - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). América MG will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Deportes Tolima is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches América MG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportes Tolima is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
14.05.22	Deportes Tolima - Envigado	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
11.05.22	Deportivo Pereira - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.05.22	Millonarios - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
30.04.22	Deportes Tolima - Internacional de Palmira	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTWW
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
15.05.22	Coritiba - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.22	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.22	América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	América Mineiro - Deportes Tolima	2:3

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