Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 13

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)


	Deportivo Cuenca		Imbabura

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.63	3.75	5
	1.66	3.8	5.68
	1.67	3.59	5.68
	1.6	3.8	4.8
	1.64	3.89	4.92	Watch
	1.59	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)	3.7 ↑ (3.46)	5.23 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
57.2%

Draw
25.1%

Imbabura
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Imbabura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Deportivo Cuenca - Imbabura Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Imbabura will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cuenca: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Piedra H. (G) 25. Lopez A. 19. Fratta G. 3. Mina S. 32. Romero N. 17. Corozo B. 5. Melo R. 7. Mancinelli L. 11. Chala W. 70. Branda V. 12. Magnin P.	1. Valero M. (G) 4. Medina A. 3. Cabeza E. 29. Pita J. 14. Calderon H. 2. Coronel G. 20. Arteaga M. 22. Mendoza E. 15. Chavez R. 11. Burbano D. 18. Folleco W.
Substitutes
9. Arroyo L. 21. Becerra R. 26. Caicedo Y. 8. Davila E. 6. Diaz R. 1. Eduardo Jose Jimenez Sarmiento (G) 10. Luna D. 40. Mera F. 13. Noboa D. 18. Piedra I. 16. Quinonez Y. 77. Zambrano M.	34. Alcivar J. 5. Cevallos G. 10. Espinoza T. 21. Mina M. 90. Minda P. (G) 7. Pantoja L. 9. Paz F. 17. Presentado F. 33. Rendon G. 26. Santacruz A.
Coaches
Oca I.	Armas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Magnin P. ⚽,
12', Coronel G. 🟥,
15', Fratta G. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Mendoza E. (Pen),
20', 2 - 1, Mancinelli L. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
27', 3 - 1, Magnin P. ⚽, Mancinelli L. (A),
45+1', 4 - 1, Corozo B. ⚽, Chala W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Chavez R. ↓, Santacruz A. ↑,
46', Pita J. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
46', Calderon H. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
46', Arteaga M. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
51', 5 - 1, Magnin P. (Pen),
54', Magnin P. 🟨,
61', Mancinelli L. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
61', Magnin P. ↓, Becerra R. ↑,
66', Arroyo L. 🟨,
73', Branda V. ↓, Mera F. ↑,
75', Burbano D. ↓, Pantoja L. ↑,
78', Melo R. 🟨,
82', Corozo B. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
82', Chala W. ↓, Zambrano M. ↑,
86', 5 - 2, Pantoja L. (Pen),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Deportivo Cuenca is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.05.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	5:0 ✺
17.04.24	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1 ✺
12.04.24	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLT
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.05.24	Imbabura - Libertad Loja	4:2 ✺
06.05.24	Técnico Universitario - Imbabura	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Imbabura - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
18.04.24	Imbabura - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	El Nacional - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLTL

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