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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Macará 37.7%
Draw 30.6%
Orense 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
28.9%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
28.3%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Macará's form might have worsened.
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Deportivo Macará - Orense Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cuero D. (G) 11. Espinoza T. 21. Etchebarne S. (C) 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 8. Blanc G. 5. Estacio J. 7. Paz F. 30. Chamba T. 87. Klinger J. 22. Ferro L.
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 5. Lorenzo A. 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 7. Vasquez S. 25. Jaramilo R. 13. Mena A. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S. 11. Herrera A. 10. Burgoa V.
Substitutes
13. Ayala M. 25. Bolanos D. 16. Cazares J. 3. Espinoza J. 4. Jimenez J. 14. Marrufo J. 10. Miranda M. 9. Posse F. 1. Rodriguez R. (G) 15. Tello M. 20. Viera M. 17. Zambrano J.
8. Armas D. 19. Bermudez M. 17. Caicedo E. 9. Charpentier P. 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 51. Ortiz C. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 14. Pluas E. 4. Quinonez S. 21. Rostagno G. 77. Vinan B.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.
Torres H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Mohor J. 🟨,
14', Caicedo B. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Mena A. ⚽, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. (A),
45', Sanguinetti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Estacio J. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
51', Velasco P. 🟨,
52', Quinonez O. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Paz F. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Paz F. 🟨,
65', Chamba T. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
65', Etchebarne S. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
65', Paz F. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
72', Burgoa V. ↓, Charpentier P. ↑,
84', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
84', Mena A. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
85', Klinger J. ↓, Posse F. ↑,
89', Herrera A. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
89', Vasquez S. ↓, Pluas E. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Bermudez M. ⚽, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 2.
Macará is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Orense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Macará could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Macará won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Macara
31
16
6
9
43:34
9
54
Last Results with these Odds
Orense - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.37%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Ecuador
Peru
Watch
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Cuero D. (G) 
Etchebarne S. (C) 
Blanc G. 
Marrufo J. 
Torres H. 
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